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2024-12-13 05:44:32

Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.US media: "Ukraine provides drones to Syrian opposition forces." According to Reuters's December 11th quote from Washington post, a few weeks before Syrian opposition forces launched an offensive and overthrew former President Bashar al-Assad, Syrian militants obtained about 150 drones and other secret support from Ukrainian intelligence personnel. Washington post quoted unnamed sources familiar with Ukrainian military activities as saying that four to five weeks ago, Ukrainian intelligence agencies sent about 20 drone operators and about 150 drones to help the "Syrian Sham Liberation Army". According to the report, the Russian Foreign Ministry said earlier that the Syrian opposition armed forces obtained drones from Ukraine and received operational training. The Russian Foreign Ministry did not provide evidence. At that time, the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry said that it "categorically" denied this statement. (Reference message)


ECB: The appropriate monetary policy stance will be determined by data dependence and successive meetings. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.The legal representative of Sanzhiyang Culture Media Co., Ltd. changed. Tianyancha App showed that on December 10, Hefei Sanzhiyang Culture Media Co., Ltd. changed its business. Ba Shuai stepped down as the legal representative, executive director and general manager, and Zhang Yong was the legal representative, director and manager. The company was established in May 2022 with a registered capital of RMB 1 million. Its business scope includes radio and television program production and operation, performance brokerage, advertising, organization of cultural and artistic exchange activities, conference and exhibition services, etc. It is wholly owned by Hefei Sanzhiyang Network Technology Co., Ltd.Anhui's first high-growth industrial bond was successfully issued in Shanghai. Recently, Anhui Wantong Expressway Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Wantong Expressway") completed the issuance of Anhui's first high-growth industrial bond in Shanghai Stock Exchange. On October 30th this year, Wan Tong Expressway was approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission to publicly issue corporate bonds with a registered scale of no more than 5 billion yuan to professional investors.


The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.The offshore RMB retreated against the US dollar, and now it is reported at 7.2700.

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